WiiU vs. last gen and handhelds

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DanneSandin said:

Asriel said:
Great thread, something I'll keep checking. It's obvious Wii U is going to be below Wii's pace for the first two years, but I'm really interested to see how it compares to Wii's third and fourth years, to see if Nintendo can get a steadier, more long-term curve out of this machine.

It's also great to see comparisons to the PS3/360 launches. I fully expect Wii U to be over 10 million by 50 weeks and over 20 million by 100 weeks.

I've been thinking along these lines as well! Perhaps it won't have the same strong first years, but maybe - just maybe, it'll have stronger legs and could manage 100m...

I don't think it'll do much better in the later years when PS4/720 become more affordable. 

Nintendo needs to create a new franchise to really drive hardware sales, Mario can't be relied upon to do everything. 

I think a huge majority of the casuals who embraced the Wii will abandon Nintendo this time out. You'll have the same core Nintendo fans stick around, but the casuals will mostly go elsewhere, with the PS3/360 hardcore transitioning up to the PS4/720 as the years roll on.