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pezus said:
Hmm it will certainly be closer to your low end, since it will just about pip 5m this year (and that was with (mostly) no Wii U). 3m looks good.

This year, it's reasonable to expect the final amount to come to between 5.3 and 6.3 million (that is, 99-100 million LTD), depending on how strong Christmas sales end up being. If the system doesn't sell any more units in any of the remaining weeks than it did in the week ending the 8th, it'll still make it to 5 million. And we all know that sales of ALL available systems will increase over the next two and a half weeks - that is, the weeks leading up to Christmas Day. It may only be a couple of extra thousand, in which case it reaches 5.3 million, and 3 million next year is a reasonable likelihood. It may manage to reach 6.3 million, in which case anywhere up to 5 million next year is plausible (keeping in mind that, if it manages to reach 6.3 million by the end of the year, it will show a strong end-of-year sales pattern that is likely to recur next year, after the price cut).