MARCUSDJACKSON said:
i disagree. i'm seeing the evidence that PS3 will take the lead by Oct. and keep it. does anyone think there's a chance that wk8 (current numbers) number will be adjusted? and if so,will it give Sony another small lead for the wk? |
I think there is a chance the entire year will get Ps3 adjustments. The only way VGC matches up with Sony's shipped numbers is if sony shipped more Ps2's in April - June and again in July - September this year than they did in October - December last year... even with Ps2 numbers showing a decline the last 4 quarters. Needless to say I don't see that happening. Best case scenario they sustained their Jan-March shipments within both of those quarters and not declining (which again I doubt)... I think that both MS and Ps3 will ship 5 to 5.5 million this quarter and probablly increase shipments closer to christmas it gets. so about 1 to 1.2 million in Oct. (Which would mean Ps3 was at 69million the end of September which would fall in line with Ps2 sustaining their Q1 shipments) 2 to 2.2 million in November and 2 to 2.2 million in December. So, in my opinion the Ps3 is at least 500k undertracked. Possibly up to 800k.
I don't think it was a coincidence that Sony announced their 70mil shipped when they did. I believe they know they are close to MS.