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Doubtful since Xbox Live will just have a bunch of new features next generation that Sony will have to spend years trying to copy. There's also the possibility that many of the new features might not be as easily copied next time around which could cause a lot of problems for Sony.

As for both consoles I think the next Playstation is going to have major problems due to the cuts Sony has had to make in PR and advertising. I expect those cuts will impact sales of their hardware and games for years to come much like the impact it's had on their first party games and recent hardware launches.