pezus said:
It's very very likely I'd say that many are going to reach 100 years. The average life expectancy is increasing almost by the day and in 100 years I suspect that it will be around or over 100 years for both men and women, unless a big world war breaks out. |
isn't the most important reason for that the decreasing childhood mortality? i believe in 1880 every fourth kid or so died before it was 5 years old and if they would have had the same rate as we have nowadays the difference wouldn't be even that big (i'm talking about germany now, not sure how many kids died in other developed countries back then)
so i think an average of 100 won't be the case in 2001 and if they talk about the average life expectancy they talk about new born so if you read that we have a life expectancy of 83 nowadays they talk about the new born babies which would be only 89 in the year 2101 so even the new born of nowadays would be above average life expectany in 2101 with "only" 89.
