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GameAnalyser on 04 December 2012
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gergroy said:
GameAnalyser said:
ethomaz said:

4. JAPAN (VGC DATA)

PS3 VGC DATA PLUS MY ESTIMATE
YEAR MY PREDICITION MY CUMULATIVE SOLD  CUMULATIVE DIFF COMMENTS
2006  -  - 472,605 472,605 -
2007   - - 1,218,612 1,691,217 -
2008 -  - 1,065,808 2,757,025 -
2009 - - 1,829,784 4,586,809 -
2010 - - 1,553,638 6,140,447 -
2011 - - 1,521,847 7,662,294 -
2012 1,300,000
 9,000,000  * 25th Nov * 1,017,820  * 25th Nov * 8,680,114 -  
2013 1,200,000
 10,200,000        
2014 1,000,000
 11,200,000      
2015 600,000
 11,800,000
 

2016 400,000 12,200,000        
2017+ 300,000 12,500,000        


2013 as per the current trends and based on the data above will be the year when PS3 will have its highest peak. Then there will be a gradual decline, contrary to the higher numbers posted over the longer period above.


Huh? Based on current trends and the data above 2013 will be a peak year? Are you looking at the same data as me? It looks like the current trends and data above indicate that 2009 was the peak year for japan and that it has been in a slow decline since...

I missed to mention world-wide, not just in Japan. My bad. And why not in 2013? If you carefully analyze the data above on how there was a decline from 2007-2008 and the subsequent boost from 2008-09, there's a similar possibility lurking with Japanese super slim PS3 bundles. However predictions are based on trends and VGC data we get, I would rather not be too optimistic.