Wii U is obviously going to do well this year and in 2013 but the issues facing it aren't price or the controller layout, it's the same issues that the Wii faced compared to the 360/PS3 and that is its specs and online network.
Basically there's going to be a similar gap in hardware specs between the Wii U and XBox720/PS4 as there is now between Wii and Xbox360/PS3. It's kind of funny considering they came out and said it was the reason why the Wii didn't get a lot of major 3rd party games and implied that that they fixed it with the Wii U and it turns out to not be the case (just read up on Wii U memory bandwidth or its CPU for example).
In 2014 and beyond the Wii U is very likely going to go back to the very familiar game droughts that plagued the Wii only this time there won't be the massive casual audience to keep it in check. That's when hardware sales are likely going to begin falling behind the competition and then become a serious problem for Nintendo.
Add to that the fact that it's like they're being dragged kicking and screaming into the online realm with choices that seem ridiculous compared to what the next generation Xbox 720 and PS4 are going to be offering. Anyone that has been watching the hiring spree Microsoft has been having for people to work on its online knows it's going to be a significant jump from the Xbox 360. The Wii U doesn't even seem like it'll be a serious contender against Xbox Live as it is now let alone the next generation of Xbox Live.
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