Poll : which is the next system to die and why?

[masschamber]

first the redux of the gizmondo
the ps2 will be first to die off,
the psp will probably be next
now the paths diverge

if sony releases a new handheld
then the ds is next in line then every thing else
if sony drops out of handhelds the 360, ps3 and wii in short order, then the ds will be last
now some possible variations are possible beyond that if ps3 and xbox360 fanboys right and the wii is in a completely different market from them, then there will be no incentive for nintendo to replace the wii when the next gen starts
or if the wii goes all John Lucas on everyone the wii will also go down last

no way the ps3 will last 10 years, and I doubt microsoft will jump the gun again
and remember when it was sustainable nintendo had no problem keeping old technology on the market,
the nes was the main attraction from nintendo for 2 years before it was replaced, and it continued on for another 4 years after that, even longer in Japan
the snes last release was in 1998 (frogger) and the last major US release from Nintendo was kirby 3 in '97, 6 years after the consoles introduction, and in Japan
games were released untill the year 2000
and Seriously look at the original gameboy it was obsolete tech the day it came out (the Lynx actually beat it to market) yet due it was supported with out upgrade until 98

frankly sustaining a system isn't a sony or nintendo exclusive,
where sega found success they sustained the system, the genesis lasted till 98 in the US and Europe (only dieing off shortly before the saturn)
and the master system is still in official production in Brazil through tec toy, because the market exists (granted carts are rare in Brazil), and new games came out till 93 or 94 in Europe, Mortal Kombat 2 anyone?
and atari, new 2600 games and units were produced up until 1990, 13 years
the neo geo had games produced until 2004 due to the mvs success, 14 years of support
You can't expect sony to keep with the ps3 due to past history, nor can you expect the 360 to die early just because microsoft killed the xbox after only 4 years