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yep assigning the same multiplier for all games just doesn't work when you only use user ratings as a measurement.

When Minecraft was released on XBLA, it got about 600k ratings in a week and sold over 1 million copies in the same time. Now 3 million copies later it has 690k ratings....


@SamuelRSmith

MrStickball mostly used leaderboard stats but also mygamercard.net to make estimations about upcoming XBLA sales.
Since it tracked over 3m users, he could get much more reliable data than elsewhere.

Now just today I tried to do something similar as this thread starter in my XBLA sales thread. I used the numbers of mygamercards competitor trueachievements.org to find a multiplier of some sort. I was comparing them to leaderboard numbers and sales, but the multipliers were all over the place. There was a wide range from x7 - x40 so I stopped.
It would've certainly worked better with mygamercard, because trueachievements only has about 180.000 members.