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Sales - Call of Duty vs. 3DS - View Post

happydolphin on 04 September 2012
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pezus said:
happydolphin said:
Simply put, no. COD has imho hit its peak with MW3, and will decline, much in the direction of the industry as a whole. However, the 3DS has no reason to decline from its 8.6 trend in the last 4 months of last year. Also, last holiday it sold in Japan alone, so this holiday season it should do even better. So, the one that will reach 25 mil first is the 3DS.

Fun question, thanks for the exercise.

Black Ops 2 will sell more than MW3, at least early on. I'd bet a horse on it. The peak was supposed to be MW2, then Black Ops, then MW3 and now Black Ops 2. Keep in mind that the theoretical digital sales count (as Mario fans will tell you at every turn). 3DS sold really well in Europe and USA last holiday because, after all, it had just had its huge price cut + Mario Kart + SM3DL + some others. Now 3DS does not have MH (Japan or otherwise, if I'm not mistaken), and really only Paper Mario + 2D Mario leftovers.


But the question is not who will reach 25m first, but rather who will end up having more sales by the end of 2012.

@bold. Quite true. I knew I worded it wrong :)

@BO2>MW3. Well, I stated my reasons, and it's a decline in the industry that wasn't there at the release of MW2, so I wouldn't really bet a horse on it if I were you, horses are awesome companions and are worth alot of money.

Sure, let's count the digital sales, I have no problem with that. The one thing I'll agree with you on is that this year the 3DS has less going for it than last year, but I have yet to see a sales distribution curve go up then down for a Nintendo console before year 3, so if that happens you can color me surprised. As far as I'm concerned, HW sales figures follow a bell curve for all main players in the industry. So using historical trends I'd have to disagree, but using what I see and the 3DS' quite erregular history (the faltering of Nintendogs and Brain Age, the weaker sales of NSMB2, the need for an 80$ price cut), I'm ready for you to possibly be right.