Great post. You're right on the money that MP3 will be heavily under the microscope for its controls. So far, all other Wii FPS games have had issues in this department. Being a 2nd party title, if Nintendo/Retro can't get it right then who else will? And since the Wii can't produce a game as pretty as Halo 3 or R: FoM, Nintendo needs to prove to these 'hardcore' gamers that motion controls are a better choice than graphics and that the Wii is a system worth getting. On the other hand, I don't think Metroid will be the saving grace for Nintendo when it comes to FPS gamers. Assuming the controls work, a stronger third party developer will be able to build upon them and deliver a game that has all the features the 'hardcore' players are looking for (i.e. blood, on-line multi-player, realistic settings, etc.). As for sales, I've often wondered if Nintendo has shot itself in the foot when it comes to 'traditional' games. My grandmother isn't going to be picking up MP3 (or Halo 3 for that matter). And if the demographics for the Wii remain strongest in the casual gamer crowd, no one may be able to sell these types of games. In the end, I think that MP3 will have solid sales closer to the original than it's sequel. But I don't think it will have Halo 1/2/3 like numbers.
Numbers are like people. Torture them enough and you can get them to say anything you want.
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