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Chandler said:

This is a very interesting thread. Keep up the good work!

Also,may I ask what method / program you use for your predictions? Looks very sophisticated.


Pretty basic actually. I just pulled in the numbers from VGChartz and plugged it into Excell. It's the percentage change based on last years weeks applied to the previous week and carried forward to the rest of the year. It's why a boost or a drop in sales from one week to the next can dramatically alter the outcome. I've tested the previous two years but the results are very similar so last year is accurate enough. Since Vita is a new system it can steer away from the trend, some big titles or if psp sales start turning into Vita sales we could see some pretty impressive numbers. Though I can't be sure until after gamescom and TGS, hitting that 10 million mark Sony projected a few months ago, is starting to look out of reach.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(