Conegamer said:
bouzane said:
Conegamer said:
-CraZed- said:
Conegamer said:
Ahahaha, people seriously believe this?
No way will the PS3 sell any more than 10mil a year after this year. And it will NOT have the selling power of the PS2, because the PS2 was dominant then, and gaming has changed. It's near saturation. Only the Wii will hit it, and will hit it late 2013/early 2014.
The way I see it, PS3 will sell:
2012- 11mil (-20% YoY)
2013- 7-8mil (-28% or -35% YoY), PS4 launch
2014- 4mil (-50%ish)
2015- Minimum sales, say another 5-10mil overall
And this is being optimistic. This would leave the PS3 at around 90 mil when all is said and done. Damn respectable, but where are these other magical numbers coming from? Where's the other 15mil? That would require an entire year of 2011 sales to be added onto these numbers, and that isn't happening. The only possibility is the Slim boosts sales a bit more than expected, so 12mil this year, and add another 1mil on there. But there's still a huge shortfall.
All the Wii needs to do is sell another 9 mil LT. Expecting another 4 this year, and 2 the year after, so it'll trickle to 105mil. But no way will the PS3 get near it. |
Wii will not hit it especially after Wii-U hits. Sales have already slowed way down for the Wii even with it being the cheapest system on the market. Once the Wii-u comes out I expect Nintendo will pretty much forget about it and the slaes will continue to drop way before it sells another 9 million.
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So why will the PS3 sell another 40mil from here, whilst the Wii can't sell 8? When the PS4 comes out next year, it'd have to sell around 30mil, maaaaybe 25mil, with the PS4 out. So why won't the PS3 get effected?
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We don't have any proof that the PS3 is being released next year. Also, Sony has always supported their consoles well beyond the launch of their successors unlike Nintendo. Furthermore, the PS3 is selling well and is looking at a new model and price cut. That being said, I don't see it happening personally. I can see the PS4 being launched in late 2013 with the PS3 ending up around 95 million LTD.
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That's true, but it'd be madness if the PS4 isn't out within 12-18 months of the WiiU, like the PSV/3DS scenario. The PS3 may be better supported, and I'm not denying it'll sell better in its twilight years. BUT, I don't see it selling more than 15mil or so, ending at 90. Anything more is crazy.
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Sony is expecting to have what, 72-73 million PS3's sold by the end of the year? I don't see how it's impossible for the PS3 to break 80 million pre PS4 launch and to see 15 million unit sales post PS4 launch. I really don't see it as much of a stretch considering the company's business model.
