Prediction: PS3 will reach 105 million units before the Wii

[bouzane]

Aielyn said:

bouzane said:
Your assertion that the PS3's sales trends will be more effected by the competition than the PS2 is based on what? You make a point of the PS2 continuing to sell because it was cheap while ignoring the fact that the new Slim PS3 might very well receive a significant price cut. No offense but Nintendo's sales forcast for the Wii is absolutely insane and I can not conceive how a human being can believe it to even be remotely possible. I usually don't speak in absolutes but the Wii is not going to sell 10.5 million for the 2013 fiscal year, it's impossible.

 

@sundin13

Thanks, I knew there was no way that Nintendo was expecting those kinds of Wii sales this year.

PS3 Super Slim, even at US$150, isn't going to sell exceptionally strongly. Especially when the Xbox 360 can be bought for similar or cheaper, and the Wii, which most of the people who haven't bought a gaming system yet won't think of as significantly different from the other two, is likely to be cheaper still.

The PS2 was already the market leader. The PS3 isn't. It doesn't have the install base the PS2 had at the equivalent time, it doesn't have the overwhelming brand recognition (in the last two generations, "Playstation" was synonymous with gaming for the general population - "Wii" how holds that distinction), and it doesn't have the huge game library. The PS3 will probably continue to be sold, and it might manage an extra, say, 10 million beyond the release of the PS4... but it won't do much more than that. It's certainly not looking at a PS2-like afterlife.

As for inclusion of Wii U in their Wii numbers... I hadn't noticed. I do think Nintendo could theoretically sell 10.5 million Wiis this financial year, but it requires a significant price cut. That it's only 10.5 million including Wii U suggests that they may actually not be planning on cutting the Wii price... which saddens me, because the system would do so well if its price was cut to $99 or lower.

 

A $150 Slim PS3 wouldn't sell exceptionally well yet a $100 Wii would? What on Earth are you basing all of this on? The PS3 has been far too expensive for far too long while the Wii has been affordable for years. Where is the logic?