kowenicki said:
ManUtdFan said:
enrageorange said:
There is a better chance that the Last of Us will outsell Call of Duty Black Ops 2. In other words 0% chance seems a bit too optimistic for your prediction to come true.
The Wii will get to 105mil by the end of 2013 at the latest. The ps3 won't even end up ever getting close to that number ever. You are ridiculously overestimating the importance of emerging market sales and underestimating the importance of western sales. Yes the balance is slowly changing. No there won't be a ridiculous shift within the next 3 years...
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Don't underestimate the power of playstation. It's highly likely PS3 will continue to sell quite well well into the decade, whereas Wii will become a damp squib. There's no way Wii can shift significant numbers while there is no improvement in third party support, and with the presence of next generation consoles will be good as dead in the water.
Wii lifetime sales 110m-120m.
PS3 lifetime sales 120m+ (case in point! Brazil will like PS3 in 2020, but not the other two)
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People in Brazil will be buying PS3's in 8 years time? This stuff is pure gold, keep it comin'
So far we have that the PS3 will sell as well as the PS2 did at the back end of its life and that the PS3 will still be selling in 2020 (which actually indicates it will do better than the PS2 at the tail of its life... but no matter).
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Wow 150m+ PS2 owners and it can't even do online! well not functionally. Online is the only reason i continue to play video games and I bet I'm not so unique in that. New games and online functionality will ensure continued healthy sales for PS3 for as long as Sony want to support it. You're also understimating the potential sales within capitalism's emerging markets. For those who have an inkling of knowledge of developing economies, their growth rates - unlike those of the west- are continuing to soar if not as much as before.
