That seems very optimistic, to be honest.
Your expectations from this price cut/remodel thing are way more than reasonable. It's really similar in nature to that Wii remodel we had last year - it's purpose is to be cheap and not to be more appealing. I mean, you expect PS3 to outdo even Sony's expectations this year, even though they were 1m off their prediction for it last FY, if I remember correctly.
I'd put it more like:
2012: 13m for 77m total (Hits Sony's expectations exactly. Price cut/remodel serves to deliver another decent year with small YoY loss.)
2013: 8.5m for 85.5m total (Sales fall off a cliff. There's really absolutely nothing for this year, except probable announcements/release of PS4 and X720, in addition to WiiU gaining popularity, which are both going to drain this generation's sales heavily. Price cuts don't have such long term effects.)
2014: 5.5m for 91m total (Natural decline continues, but Sony's developing markets kick in to save from a >50% fall.)
Final numbers should be 95m-98m at best. PS3 is no PS2 and it won't be in developing markets either, giving it way shorter legs. Given that it'll be within 10m of the Wii, that's damned impressive already, though.
“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx
