I linked to the graphs for funsies ;)
| Salnax said: Now that the charts are back, I decided to do some comparisons between current 3DS titles and similar predecessors to determine their likely lifetime sales. So let's go!
1. Super Mario 3D Land - This title is currently at 6.3 million sales. Considering how this is slightly above where Super Mario Galaxy was five years ago, I suspect that Super Mario 3D Land will sell a total of 10 to 11 million.
2. Mario Kart 7 - At this point in its life, Mario Kart DS had nearly 1.7 million fewer sales than 7 did. If 7 continues to have strong legs and the 3DS has a life on par with the DS, we could see Mario Kart 7 selling in the 20 to 30 million range!
3. Ocarina of Time 3D - This is harder to determine, since there has never been a 3D Zelda remake before. However, there has been a handheld N64 classic remake: Super Mario 64 DS! Currently, Mario is ahead by about 20%, so it appears unlikely that Zelda will ever reach extreme numbers. Furthermore, its legs seem low. I doubt Ocarina of Time 3D will ever surpass 5 million.
4. Nintendogs + cats - The original was definately the more popular game, by a margin of 3 or 4 to 1. However, the original game had great legs, and the sequel's aren't that bad either. This game can eventually outsell Ocarina of Time and reach 5 to 6 million.
5. Monster Hunter 3G - Based solely on Japanese sales, the 3DS version of this game had a far weaker start than the PSP version, but has healthy legs in Japan. It can easily reach 2 million. It may take until after Monster Hunter 4 is released, but it can do it. PSP MHs (Freedom Series): http://goo.gl/rjVai 3DS vs PSP MHs http://goo.gl/UaJ2w 3G, Tri, Freedom http://goo.gl/eCLe9
6. Resident Evil: Revelations - Surprisingly, this game is not doomed yet. It still sells thousands of copies a week, and has yet to experience a holiday boost. I expect it to sell a cool million lifetime. RE4, 5 and RE:R http://goo.gl/hlPJZ
7. Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games - Once again, we have a game that is selling far worse than its predecessors, but is still doing decently. Another million seller. M&S Wii vs DS (2 first games) http://goo.gl/HwVHX Weakest vs london olympic games Wii & 3DS http://goo.gl/T3fe0 |
| Title | Prediction | Predicted Reasons |
| 1. Super Mario 3D Land | 12m | Galaxy to a T |
| 2. Mario Kart 7 | 25m | Somewhere btw MK Wii and DS |
| 3. Ocarina of Time 3D | 7m | The potential of Super Mario 64 DS with the sales track record of TP. |
| 4. Nintendogs + cats | 15m | This should pick up massively this holiday season, when the Western 3DS userbase grows. |
| 5. Monster Hunter 3G | 3.5m | Better legs than Freedom 2 but similar initial trend. |
| 6. Resident Evil: Revelations | 1.5m | Legs but not a commercial success like its home console analogs. |
| 7. Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games | 2m | Will explode this holiday, but not enough to beat Winter Games DS. |
