Sigh...I had a really lengthy post here, but it's deleted for whatever reason. Crazy.
Anyway, I failed in my calculations. If the PS3 sells, on average, 130k per week until the holidays, it'll sell an extra 2.08mil from now to October 31st, leaving it at 6.88mil with 2 months to go. Selling 500k then 750k, on AVERAGE, it'll hit 11.88mil by the end of the year, not 10-11mil. 11-12mil seems more realistic.
And the Slim redesign will boost sales by about 100k, no-one really wanted one. But the pricecut could help, another 500k? But sales drop beforehand anyway (read: 3DS), so the overall increase will be around 450k over other figures. The market is saturated, people want new stuff. The Wii has reached it, the 360 is starting to suffer. The PS3 will hit it soon. And when it does, nothing (new games, price cuts) can save it.
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