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Chandler said:

Anybody care to predict how the LL will fare alongside NSMB2? I think 3DS+LL could go as high as 200k and the trinity could get a decent boost, too. I have no idea how well 2D marios sell first week, only that they have incredible legs. Is 600k for 2 days (saturday and sunday) too pessimistic?

3DS sales have been noticeably declining since the XL announcement, notwithstanding the release of several solid performing games, so I anticipate the first week for the XL is going to be pretty good for Nintendo. I believe the DSi XL did well in Japan, too. As for Mario, 600k is quite doable, although I wouldn't call it conservative. The games have a strong start as well as strong legs.