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The major people who are supporting the PS3 have to be new core buyers and tech enthusiasts, unless we see movement in Move hardware alongside it like MS with Kinect I cannot assume anything about the casuals. Casuals are backing MS, and the core are backing the PS3. Sony always gets a surge of buyers towards the end of their lifecycle once the price seems appropriate to buy. and $249 is decent. once the PS3 hits $199 in 2013 all hell is going to break loose with the people who have waited patiently for a console like the PS2 era.