richardhutnik said:
Let me say this: It is presumptive, highly presumptive, to assume that if X is gone, that the people into X will migrate elsewhere. It is very possible they wouldn't do any console stuff at all, or their interest is just into FPS stuff. It doesn't translate that people into FPS titles will suddenly play sandbox games or any sorts, or even the infernal Dante's Inferno, or even God of War. You can't presume that. A form of this presumption is also done with the software industry presuming every piece of pirated software will translate into a sale if people couldn't access it for free, and then reports it the pirated versions as lost revenue. You can't flat out presume that the people migrate over, or won't migrate over now. If you can't get them now, what makes you think it would be easier to get them, when they aren't playing a console at all? The market consisted of Halo, before Call of Duty came out. Without Call of Duty, it is likely Halo in a larger degree. Also, you have to realize that the success of Call of Duty has driven other FPS titles to be produced, because investors see a market. Without Call of Duty being a big success, you are less likely to see others come over, particularly on consoles. You wouldn't likely see Crysis ported over, or others. It would of been mainly PC fare for FPS titles. |
Of course I can assume, just like you did but in the other direction.
There's two forces at play, one driving casuals and new people into hardcore gaming thanks to the phenomenon of Call of Duty (the one you describe above), the other force being all these existing hardcore gamers being hooked to Call of Duty and simply not having time or urge to discover other games.
(Dante's Inferno is not one of those games, I just mentioned it because it's a personal favorite. I love Dante's Inferno and got the Platinum trophy for it, which I am very proud of. But there is no one to play it with online, the servers to Dante's Inferno on PSN are always empty Anyway, I am happy a sequel to Dante's Inferno is in the making).







