5-20-07 Future sales trend and market share percentages?

[cjpierciiw]

	Wii	PS3	360	Total
5/20/07	7.51	36.59%	3.27	15.95%	9.74	47.46%	20.52
5/27/07	7.77	37.13%	3.33	15.92%	9.83	46.96%	20.93
6/3/07	8.03	37.63%	3.39	15.88%	9.92	46.49%	21.34
6/10/07	8.28	38.09%	3.44	15.85%	10.01	46.06%	21.73
6/17/07	8.53	38.55%	3.50	15.81%	10.10	45.64%	22.13
6/24/07	8.78	39.00%	3.55	15.78%	10.19	45.23%	22.53
7/1/07	9.04	39.42%	3.61	15.74%	10.28	44.83%	22.92
7/8/07	9.29	39.84%	3.66	15.71%	10.37	44.45%	23.32
7/15/07	9.54	40.24%	3.72	15.68%	10.46	44.08%	23.72
7/22/07	9.80	40.62%	3.77	15.65%	10.54	43.72%	24.12
7/29/07	10.05	41.00%	3.83	15.62%	10.63	43.38%	24.51
8/5/07	10.30	41.36%	3.89	15.60%	10.72	43.05%	24.91
8/12/07	10.56	41.71%	3.94	15.57%	10.81	42.72%	25.31
8/19/07	10.81	42.05%	4.00	15.55%	10.90	42.41%	25.71
8/26/07	11.06	42.38%	4.05	15.52%	10.99	42.10%	26.10

 

These are the current world sales and market share %. Each week that follows on the chart includes the previous four weeks sales averages for the entire world. So basically this sheet is trying to predict what sales will trend like based on the previous four weeks of sales. So IF sales average exactly like the previous four weeks then this sheet will show what the exact sales and market share will be.

 

Things like holidays; price cuts, and newly released AAA games that move a lot of systems will change this chart quickly. So will supply issues like what is happening with the Wii.

 

At the current rate of sales the sheet says the Wii will catch the 360 by August 26^th now two weeks sooner than it was from the 5-06-07 sales data, which showed the catch date of September 9^th. 

 

Only 584,505 more Wii sales in addition to this trend and the Wii will catch 360 by July 29^th. This gap between these two is being closed two different ways. They are Wii sales have been increasing and 360’s have been decreasing.

 

Not as many people are currently thinking this July WW prediction is as crazy as it used to be.