Predicition: PS3 will outsell Wii by the end of this console generation

[Conegamer]

pezus said:

Conegamer said:

pezus said:

Conegamer said:
Note- DQX will NOT be ported to the PS3 this year, next year or ever.

And the Wii is at 95.6mil, whilst the PS3 is at 63.5mil. That's a gap of 32.1mil, or the PS3 would have to outsell the Wii for 321 weeks, or over 6 years, at exactly 100k per week, in order to overtake the Wii.

In 6 years, the Wii will be selling much closer to the PS3, as both will be nearly 0. So, unless there's a miracle, no.

Don't forget the holidays. I expect PS3 to slaughter Wii this holiday season, for obvious reasons (Wii U and practically no Wii games coming out)

Never discount the Wii in the holidays, though. The Wii outsold the PS3 every single week in the holiday period last year. Sure, the gaps were marginal, but kids will always want to buy a Wii, especially when the other option is the more expensive new console, with few games. You'd be surprised what selliing power it has in the holidays. 

Even assuming a 300k drop behind the PS3 (seeing a highly unlikely 800k to 500k sales on average in those 10 weeks), it'd only outsell the Wii by 7mil this year, and that gap would be around the same next year, but much less the year after (as the PS4 will be released, and the consoles will have run out of steam). So 5mil, 3mil, 1mil and then next to nothing. So worst-case scenario I see is that the PS3 will close the gap by 23mil from here. It needs 32.1, so it will fall short by nearly 10mil, worst-case scenario for Wii. 

Hmm PS3 was ahead until the end of November and then they were basically tied until the last week of the year where PS3 outsold Wii by more than 200k. But Wii continues to drop a lot, and like I said I expect it to drop even more harshly this year due to no games and Wii U stealing the spotlight.

PS3 will outsell Wii by a lot more than 5m in 2013 I think. But otherwise I have to agree that it doesn't look very likely at the moment unless Wii magically stops selling after Wii U comes out.

I agree. I said 7mil for 2013. 5mil for 2014 etc.

I expect the Wii to drop, but not as harsh as the DS did (as they were effectively the same price; infact the DSiXL is more expensive than the 3DS in Japan). Don't forget DQX as well- that'll increase sales in Japan by about 150k overall. Depends on when it launches. I expect next year.