March NPD - X360 #1 371k, PS3 337k, Wii 175k

[Conegamer]

Zlejedi said:

Conegamer said:

Seece said:
Sorry I had to go out last night!

Smallest PS3 - 360 gap since Slim debuted, PS3 price cut has had a sustained effect afterall. Star Wars should widen it next month, not sure about May, June they have to cut!

Wii is falling behind rapiidly, down 115k YOY despite price cut, going to $99 will do little to nothing. 360 - Wii gap is 5.57m, closed the gap 196k this month.

Reckon the 360 will overtake the Wii in the US then? If it keeps it up like this each week on average, it'll take 28 months. I know it'll likely grow in the holidays and perhaps more this month with Star Wars, and of course when there's a price cut, so 18-20 months is more likely. The question is, will the 360 continue selling for that long after the WiiU is released? 

However, I still reckon both will end up very close. Could go either way, depending on how quickly Wii drops further.

Even assuming Wii U will cause X360 sales to drop (I got no idea why it would happen unless Wii U is like 200$) it will also cause Wii sales drop.

There's no ifs here just a matter of when in USA.

Why would it happen? Because people want the next BIG thing. It may not cause sales to drop dramatically, but -10% YoY + whatever else due to age and fatigue for the PS360, and -20% YoY+ Whatever else for Wii seems likely. 

The 360 can't sell forever. It'll start to drop dramatically, and it'll probably either happen later this year or early next. It's whether or not it can continue to outsell the Wii at this rate for long enough to get close enough to the Wii's sales. Because when the 360 starts to drop in sales, the difference between sales of the two each month will be much less than 200k per month, or 50k per week...

I expect we'll see something along the lines of (LT):

47mil Wii

47.5mil 360

32mil PS3

 

This seems possible, so the 360 just edging the Wii