Gran Turismo 5 vs Halo Reach (total lifetime sales)

[Mummelmann]

JustThatGamer said:

If I remember correctly Fable III sold roughly 1.5 million units due to the 2011 holiday bundle, of which a digital copy of Halo: Reach was also bundled. So 8.89 + 1.50 = 10.39m, and that's not even including other digital sales so it's probably around 11 million. I bet GT5 won't even come within 1.5 million of that number. I think Halo: Reach will go on to sell 11.75-12.75m lifetime, although we'll never really know because we can't track digital copies sold. For GT5 I'd predict 8.50-9.25m lifetime.

I suppose it won't sell as well as previous GT games because it's widely considered disappointing and it now has a strong main competitor in Forza Motorsport 2/3/4 which has probably swayed a fair amount of previous GT fans like myself due to its higher quality, in my opinion.

Simple answer: No.

There's also the simply fact that the PS3 is not the market leader, its still in last place and the installed base is tiny compared to the PS2 at the same point in the lifecycle. All in all, the PS3 will end up selling a little over half of what the PS2 did lifetime (its even still selling). Hardly in favor of GT5 moving numbers anywhere near Halo Reach.