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I guess 2-4 million units can be a probable range. It depends on
-how many launch titles will impress the hardcore and casual market and move the units.
- the launch price, if it stays in the range $ 229-249.
- The strategic dealing with Japanese market, which is actually one tough market.
- the number of 3rd party developers who have already signed up with dev kits.
- whether the console is released during the peak holiday period or not.