First, please keep this thread as good as it is no flame baits and so on 
Some points I think I have stated before but I do want to state them again.
The impact of the superior graphics for the competion on Wii sales:
This I think might be a big deal in the Westen countries, but to be honest I don't think it will matter at all in Japan. The key audiance in Japan for the moment is the casual gamers that is buying Wii Sport/Play. I have hard to belive that anyone buying Wii Sports in Japan will stop buying it because of better graphical powers for xbox360 or PS3. I think Japan for this gen will be in Nintendo hands, this will of course not give the Wii a free ride to 100 millions, but they could end up selling 20 million+ in Japan without any problems.
Lifespann:
Wii is coming from a company that kept the gameboy out for 10 years, that hold on to NES for a long time. I will say that as long as Wii is selling they wont remove it.
Lack of 3rd party support
So far Wii has shown that Nintendo doesn't need 3rd party support to sell well. I actualy think this is because Wii has momentum and good word of mouth, not that the price is lower than the competition. I actualy hope and belive that jlauro have right with his prediction because that would mean that we really get an inccrease in gaiming population. If Nintendo themselves could deliver the games "non-gamers" want 3rd party support wont be an issue.
Price
I think that as long as the price for Wii is mass market the competions price wont matter if, and only if (hehe haven't wrotten that since I did my last math teasis), they go for another demographics.
So I would be surprissed if Wii ended up below 40 millions because I do belive that Wii will sell less than 20 millions in Japan. If they are going to sell above 100 millions they need to improve their production a lot.
Buy it and pray to the gods of Sigs: Naznatips!
