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srry i didn't answer the main question.

ok since i'm expecting Sony and MS to cross 75m this yr.(may be to high), and many expect Wii to cross 105m, thats a 5m unit gain on the Wii for MS and Sony.

PS360 are going to need Wii to be discontinued and hope 3rd party software can help to hobble the systems along to 5 to 8m a yr. after the release of their successors if they hope to pass Wii globally.

at 8m a yr. it would take PS360 4 yr.'s to pass the Wii, assuming Sony doesn't take second place before then which i doubt would happen and could take those same 3.5 yr.'s to accomplish.

so really it all depends on when each consoles shelf life ends, and how fast sales drop off and by how much over the course of the next 3-5 yr.'s.

now of course that's just 8m a yr. not accounting for the likely hood that 8m a yr. would even be remotely possible. i'd love to see, Sony 2012 yr. end sales projections.