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well it all depends on how long, and how well PS360 are supported after the launch of their successors.

if Sony (MS) can adopt a unproven ip system for the PS360(i think of it as promoting an ip on an established platform before it hits PSnextbox) then that could be enough to get them past the Wii, or closer.

and then there is the issue of shelf life (what MS and Sony say it is v reality).