Look at the wii launch alligned with the DS ad PS2. http://www.vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS2®2=All&cons3=DS®3=All&align=1 The wii doesn't have to sell anything for 4 months, and it would still be outselling the PS2 and DS. Even if wii sales fall off considerably because supply finally meets day 0 demand and no one else wants one, and holiday sales remind us of 360 sales in japan during April, the graphs would cross about a year and half from launch dates. So I agree, that it is likely the wii will outsell the PS2. That said, the PS2 starts to pick up speed after 2 years on the market, and after 7 years it's still selling a respectable amount. Predicting the wii will oustell the ps2 for the first year and a half is a lot safer (would be hard not to happen!) statement then predicting it to outsell it during the entire lifetime of the systems... Plus, I think the wii is the best second console system. It's low price means a lot of people with a 360 will get one, and a lot of people with a ps3 will get one, and a lot of people with a ps2 will get one, and a lot of people who never would have wanted a video game will get one for bowling or golf. It has the potential to beat the PS2 sales in as short as 4 years.
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