Zlejedi said:
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Market saturation imho. 210 Mil home consoles have been sold this gen. I don't expect the market to gobble them up this year tbh (w/ wo/ recent/impending price cuts). And then continued financial stress globally, but that's always an uncertainty, I hold more to the first factor.
I also doubt the robustness of the unusual always up curve I see with the Xbox, I don't expect it to continue (e.g. more weight towards general market fatigue).
Also, much of what would've been bought this year was bought during holiday 2011 thanks to bundles/deals. 2011 holiday performance was much higher than expected traditionally at this point in a generation. That sales buffer can considerably affect this year's performance accross the board.
