2012 Sales Predictions

[Mummelmann]

Seece said:

Mummelmann said:
Why would PS360 peak in 2012? The year before their relief arrives? Or perhaps even the same year? That makes no sense to me. Its all downhill from here, price cuts be damned. This is only my belief, of course, but I really see no logical reason why neither the PS3 nor the 360 would be up yoy for 2012 and not down by a significant amount. Look at how crippled the Wii is right now, it is simply farther ahead in it's lifecycle on the same market and one can assume that the competition will feel the burn as well, and quite soon.

Price cuts, don't underestimate them. $199 PS3 and $199 Kinect Bundle will do very well next christmas, don't think we can compared the Wii to the HD consoles, Wii peaked years ago, 3 years behind 360's peak in alligned launches.

I know what price cuts can do but we're so far into the generation and a stellar holiday season will still have trouble negating a poor ten months before that. Like the PS360 gap for 2011, the PS3 had a comfortable lead but the 360 had a crazy holiday season, crushing the PS3 weekly and still managed to finish behind in total sales for the calendar year.

Time will show I guess, I don't think either of our lives will end either way...