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nextbox will be most powerful imo. Sony went from 75% of the console marketshare to 28% by making an expensive powerful console, that as it turns out is as insignificantly more powerful than the 360 as the gamecube was over the ps2. Obviously very few people are actually graphics whores. Infact I know a ridiculous amount of people whom play their ps3s and 360s on hdtvs with composite cables at 480i and talk about how great the games look.

Sony won't be able to sell a console at a loss again next gen, while microsoft easily will. I think it is even possible the ps4 will be closer to the wii u than the nextbox. Then again with the wave of casuals xbox has been attracting lately, microsoft might pull a 360 and decide to make an underpowered console at mass market price from the get go.  I mean other then gears of war there hasn't been any popular xbox game to come close to maxing out even the 360, so why is a signifcantly more powerful machine needed. 

So imo

xbox 80% chance

PS4 15% chance

Wii U 5% chance