DarkDesent666 said:
Jay520 said:
sales2099 said:
Jay520 said:
A better question: Socom 4 failed to reach a million, are The Last of Us & The Last Guardian doomed? |
Id say they will do around 2 million each. Both new IPs which will limit their potential this late in the gen but Last of Us is part of the still popular zombie genre and Last Guardian will have tremendous Japan sales.
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My post wasn't really serious but I'd say you're too high with TLG & too low on TLOU.
Also, I don't understand all this talk about new IPs being doomed to being low selling titles. If a game like Red Dead Redemption (I know it's not a new IP, but in terms of selling power, the franchise was just as insignificant as one) can sell well towards 10 million, then I'd say it's feasible for another new IP of equal quality to reach the 3-5mill range. The only reason we haven't seen that recently is simply because most major developers have already created their new IPs for this gen and are sticking to them. Most new IPs nowadays don't sell simply because they are bad, or unappealing games.
Think of some more high-quality AND appealing new IPs released recently, and I'm sure they've sold well also. LA Noire, for example, was a pretty good game, and has some pretty good sales (though bad for the company). The problem is there aren't that many games like this. But not due to consumers ignoring new IPs, it's because most great devs are sticking to their already established franchises.
That's where I believe games like TLOU will differ.. As long as they deviate from the common trend of new IPs, and be actual good & appealing, then I think they'll see some healthy sales |
Games need massive amounts of advertising to crack 3 mil or even more. Red dead had a massive amount of advertising, quality does play a part but not nearly as much as it should. As long as a game has high production values and is advertised alot it can get a ton of sales despite the actual quality. Personally I prefer the good resonably budget model that actually rely on quality rather then advertisement and don't need massive amount of sales to profit. |
Well yeah, but if a new IP, or any game, is top quality (90+) & appealing then it's likely to automatically have a sufficient promotion if the publisher is competent. (Though I think some games can accomplish this without massive advertisement. Batman Arkham Asylum (2009) being a non-too recent example).
