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"so vgc overtracked?
by maybe 300-500k?
(I doupt the PS3 is sold out in UK and France and Germany, the three biggest markets... maybe in Spain, Greece, and Italy)"

This makes no sense, we can't tell if it's over-tracked or under-tracked from this data. We don't know how many were sold in those 5 weeks that had been shipped prior, and we don't know how many shipped in those 5 weeks weren't sold until after that period.

 Besides, after watching the actual interview it's not actually clear if these are sold or shipped.