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Parokki on 23 May 2007
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mrstickball said:
#2. Games. Alot of 3rd party devs are going Wii, thats true, but we still haven't seen a single developer decide to make any major game Wii-exclusive. No RE5, DMC 4, MGS 4, FFXIII, KH3, and so on. The Wii can't really survive for 5+ years ala the PS2 without garnering a few major franchises on the Wii as either exclusives or the lead platform for a multi-plat game.

#3. Competition. Microsoft and Sony have invested nearly 10 billion USD into this generation. Despite sales, and everyones complainings here, both the 360 and PS3 have unique offerings that the Wii does not. The PS2 started with the lead, had the lead due to entire 3rd party support, and kept the lead. The Wii is having to start from the beginning. In the end, I feel that the 360 and PS3 will sell well enough preventing the Wii 1 from getting the kind of numbers that some delusional fanboys think it will.


First of all, the point about games is a bit ridiculous. Of course it doesn't have the support of major franchises yet because it was only released 6 months ago, and games that are being released now started production way back when everyone thought the PS3 would be the market leader for the next generation. We're already seeing huge amounts of resources being diverted to the Wii, and where those "big" franchises you named go after their next part is anybody's guess. FF and MGS are probably under pretty hefty contracts to release their latest iterations only on the PS, but after that it's either move out to the Wii or loose even more money trying to help Sony.

Secondly, many of those games you list aren't all that significant anyway. Only the first DMC broke a million in all three major territories, and it's been in decline ever since. MGS and RE have been going downhill all the time as well, despite their latest parts being my personal favorites. The best selling franchises by far for the PS2 were Gran Turismo and GTA. The other isn't seeing a new games before 2008, and the other is multi-platform.

As for the competition, they're hardly much better than last round. Sony is doing undeniably far worse, and the Xbox 360 is just barely selling more than its predecessor was at this point of its life.

 

Oh, and since when has China been wealthier than Russia? GDP per capita is honestly a rather insufficient way to measure a country's wealth, but Russia's is almost twice that of China's.