There's no way that the Wii will sell anywhere near 120m units without a major console revision. Here are a few reasons: #1. Hardware. Everyone says graphics don't matter, but they do. I feel the reason that the Wii has done so well, is that the graphics curve of which people adopt to, is rather slow. Those that had a PS2 will notice somewhat of a upgrade to the Wii (albiet very small). 2 years from now, the gap between the 360/PS3 offerings and the Wii offerings is going to be monumental. Yes, the PS1 beat the N64, a superior system in hardware, but it had a far more advanced optical drive it utilized the heck out of. #2. Games. Alot of 3rd party devs are going Wii, thats true, but we still haven't seen a single developer decide to make any major game Wii-exclusive. No RE5, DMC 4, MGS 4, FFXIII, KH3, and so on. The Wii can't really survive for 5+ years ala the PS2 without garnering a few major franchises on the Wii as either exclusives or the lead platform for a multi-plat game. #3. Competition. Microsoft and Sony have invested nearly 10 billion USD into this generation. Despite sales, and everyones complainings here, both the 360 and PS3 have unique offerings that the Wii does not. The PS2 started with the lead, had the lead due to entire 3rd party support, and kept the lead. The Wii is having to start from the beginning. In the end, I feel that the 360 and PS3 will sell well enough preventing the Wii 1 from getting the kind of numbers that some delusional fanboys think it will. #4. Revisions. In the end, we all know and believe the Wii will sell great. However, I do feel, as I always have, the system is vastly underpowered, and in 2008 and 2009, will start feeling the heat from the advanced games of the 360 and PS3. The Wii's graphics and abilities are far behind, and Nintendo will have to catch up at some point with a hardware revision, thus eliminating the possbility of this Wii to do what you think it will. Will the Wii family of systems become a huge brand? Yes. I think that if you compared the years of PS2's lifespan (2000 to 2008), to an 8 year Wii lifespan with a Wii 2, your going to have very close numbers. However, it'll take 2 consoles for Nintendo to garner that kind of sales, albiet in the same time frame.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
