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Seece said:

Listen, I love the look of Vita, and everything about it. I want it to do well Vs. 3DS, but you're looking through rose tinted glasses like so many others.

If the 3DS suffered at $249 (and the casual market is far more bigger than the core, especially at the start) the Vita isn't going to have this plain sailing ride at $299 you seem to be predicting. It has great games but none of them are even near the level of HW selling like Mario Kart or even SM3DL. It's a core handheld and won't appeal to the casuals even remotely, and it's launching in the west at the worst time of year, having games will only help it so much, but launching a dedicated gaming handheld outside of christmas? really dumb move.

I doubt if the sales are low that Sony will cut the price within 6 months or xmas 2012, they didn't with PS3, and now it's firmly on the upswing. They've sufferd bad launches without radical cuts so don't expect the same knee jerk price cutting from Sony. So xmas 2012 we're going to have a $149 3DS that's getting a steady supply of games at this point, including a Pokemon I imagin that will do bloody incredible numbers, Vs a $299 non casual Vita that has no system seller (unless COD does do wonders, which is unlikely as it's going up against a console COD)

Vita, like 3DS will start doing well when it gets down to $199, and has a steady stream of SW people are going to want to buy the system for, but nothing they have now, even Uncharted and LBP is going to have people in droves wanting to buy on.

Taht said, I hope I'm wrong and it defies my expecations.

Edit - but in regards to Vita vs Kinect, couldn't be appealing more to different audiences.

This was basically everything I was thinking when I read his post. Good post.