johnlucas said:
Kruze S, I love your signature by the way. "Reality has a Nintendo bias." Had me laughing off my chair when I first saw it. Read my post history and look at the many times I made my predictions on the outcome of the consoles. 360 has been at 9 million for 5 going on 6 months. It's stuck in quicksand momentum wise. Wii's rushing like Niagara Falls. Worldwide it's a foregone conclusion and while most don't agree with me that Wii can beat XBox 360 in the Americas within month of July it is CERTAIN by nearly everyone that they can get 'em by end of year. Wii will sell 20 million worldwide GUARANTEED. This puts them well over XBox 360 who only has Halo 3 to push sales for the most part. Holiday season. Think holiday season. Think months leading up to holiday season. Wii won't slow down much at all and it will even be strong within the summer. By fall it's gonna hit its ""super smash power" so to speak (only referencing the game not talking about its release) and scare us all with its amazing numbers on the charts to the likes of how we see DS in Japan. Once fall starts it hits its superpowered stride and it will consume XBox 360 like Pac-Man on power pellets to a ghost. When it finishes eating the green ghost a "360" point graphic will pop up in the eaten ghosts place and then it will go for the cherry—the green cherry the color of dollar bills. John Lucas |
John, I ran the figures myself and I'll share them with you.
Currently it's May 23rd and the Wii is at 7.3 million units worldwide.
Nintendo just started supplying more Wii's, Aprox 1.2 million, up from 900k
If Nintendo continues to produce and sell 1.2 million consoles while saving aprox 300k for November and December sales, then we can assume that the numbers will be close to the following:
End of May: 7.6 Million
End of June: 8.8 Million
End of July: 10 Million
End of August: 11.2 Million
End of September: 12.4 Million
End of October: 13.6 Million
End of November: 15.6 Million
End of December: 17.6 Million
Unless Nintendo up's production during the normal slow months of the year (Summer), then these estimates will be very close to the actual sales data. I honestly expect that a best case scenario is 18-19 Million Wii's worldwide by December 31st. I think you are a tad over optimistic on your sales predictions as they don't align that well with what Nintendo is telling us they will actually produce and sell. In fact even my numbers are on the high side compared to Nintendo's numbers.
The great thing about the DS is that you can sell several systems to the same household, people don't usually buy more then one console per house unless the original one broke down and needed to be replaced.
I won't make any predictions about the 360 or the PS3. I think when Nintendo talked about the pending market crash they meant they were going to bring on the market crash to eliminate their competitors. Force the competitors into a niche market where they can't make money, force third party companies who can't evolve into extinction. The market crash is still coming and Nintendo even warned Sony and Microsoft before they started to push the crash. Nintendo is going to crash a majour part of the games market again... Nintendo will survive and do extremely well because of it.
Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.
