| RolStoppable said: Don't underestimate the Wii. |
I don't. I just try not to overestimate it. That means not shooting for way more than Nintendo itself is.
| RolStoppable said: The only reason the Wii won't be able to pass the 360 in the USA this year would be short supply. |
And that's precisely the one reason why I don't think it will happen. Theres just no room for that kind of growth. Nintendo's own estimates sure aren't the ceiling, but given the supply constraint they're not that far from being the ceiling.
| RolStoppable said: It's possible, I honestly expect the 360 to sell at max 2 millions for the rest of the year. |
The problem with that is that the 360 sold a little over 1.7 million consoles in the last holiday season spike alone. Are you sure that with Halo, GTA, the holidays, people who were "wait and see" for the PS3, and a potential price drop, we can't see the same thing happening again this year? Cause if the 360 sells just half of what it sold the last holidays, plus an average of 40-50k a week, it will still beat your estimate.
