Syria, the outcome!

[kopstudent89]

Lucas-Rio said:
Russia won't let you attack his best ally in the region. They have been way too tired by occident lies on Libya.

Syria is also not Libya, they actually have an army. Turkey is too weak to attack Syria alone and could face Iranian threats and PKK support by Syria.

The most likely outcome if Assad does not step down is that he will succeed in suppressing the revolt. He has already successfully stopped most of the protests. Now there are armed gangs vs him but they seem too weak and can't even defend a quarter more than one day.

This guerrilla thing looks like what happenned in the past in Syria with the army prevailing.

Yes, this. I think people should know that out of all the dictators, Asad is probably the smartest guy out of them all. He's the only guy who has suppressed the opposition without any use of money (ala Bahrain and Saudi). 

And people who believe Israel can solve this are dillusionized. Israeli intervention actually strengthens Asad's position given 95% of Arabs hate them. Yes even the opposition would not agree to that.

And i disagree with you, Turkey can intervene somewhat, but of course only with the help of others. I think the only way of an Arab intervention is if Turkey agrees on it. Jordan can support Turkey but definitely not Lebanon. Lebanon is already divided about the Syrian situation, so probably never in a million years.