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I said nope, not a chance.

Just for the record, I think there is a chance it could do it, but I just think there's a greater chance that it wont be close. Say... 75/25?

It's gonna lose way too much ground between now and September, I don't think a pricecut on 360/Kinect will be enough to combat the Slim/Fable/Reach/Kinect/$500 Million combo of last Year and the PS3 pricecut will also make the 360 less desirable across Europe, compared to how it was last Year.