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let's say wii sells 150m consoles

so with it being bundled in most of the world and then selling >50% attach in Japan, it should hit around 130+m copies


if wii play (or wii something) continues to be the only wiimote bundle, then roughly 50m will be sold (1/3 of wii owners)

so that's around 180m


then wii fit could easily sell 20m if wii sells 150m, especially if its balance board is used in more games

so that's to 200m


then u have wii music + wii motor sports + wii chess...not sure how those will come out, so let's keep it at 200m; those 3 can make up for any overestimates in wii sports/play/fit


so #2 franchise will be pretty easy for wii to hit

to start getting up to 300m will require a few more wii titles to be released (probable as we are only 14 months into the wii's lifespan) and they will need to sell 200m+ wiis or else the wii2(wiihd) will need to have wii titles for sale for it as well



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp