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Nintendo don't need to do much to win E3 this year. Sony and Microsoft both had pretty average conferences. Reading the articles up on the various websites (especially Eurogamer) they don't think it has been that great at all. It is hard not to agree with them. If you love motion controls and handhelds then this E3 will be your heaven. If your a console gamer (which i bet the vast majority of users on this website are) then there is nothing for us. We got a trailer for a new Halo that will be out in a year and a mmo that has no release date. In comparison to years gone by that is pretty shit. No megatons at all.

For Nintendo to win all they have to do is announce the new console and just one core title at launch i.e If they have a new Super Mario Bros game for it then that will kill all that came before it.

I think we will see a whole new Nintendo style conference this year. Less of the total casual/cute vibe and a bit more leaning towards the hardcore. If that happens then Nintendo will have taken Microsofts spot and make Microsoft the casual console.
Personally i really hope that happens because i am a hardcore gamer and right now i am sick to death of the whole casual gamer/motion controls/3d gaming type thing.