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the arguement that there are no other big exclusive games coming out these holidays is stupid. 90% of gamers don't care if the game is exclusive. Call of Duty, Battlefield 3, Elder Scrolls V, and Batman Arkham City will all be heavily preordered this holiday as well. No sane gamer is going to think crap I've only preordered multiplatforms, better preorder gears of war even though I don't want it because I haven't preordered an exclusive yet.

While its current preorder numbers are insane, not only will it not beat halo reach's first week, I'm willing to bet it won't come within 1mil units of halo reach's first week. 

Still it will be a bigger imrovement over gears 2 first weel, than halo reach was over halo 3 first week in my opinion =), but comparing the sales directly with halo reach or black ops is ridiculous.