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Garcian Smith said:
I'm betting it's a second-party game. Squeenix have stated that they don't have anything in development for the Wii aside from the FF:CC games and Chocobo's Dungeon, Konami seems content to keep its Playstation-line mostly-exclusivity, and Namco-Bandai already has two Wii games announced.

Now, a big surprise would be if it were a Capcom game...

 I don't know of any really big Capcom RPG's. Besides Monster Hunter 3 is already coming Wii-side.

There were rumours about Konami's Suikoden VI though, and Konami must show something on Wii soon to not miss the opportunity completely.

2nd party can only be Retro and Monolith.