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Mario Kart 3DS for me, I think the huge success of the games on the DS and Wii will help bring over gamers from those platforms in both the Hardcore and the casual gamer camps (Kid Icarus and OoT will not bring over the causals, and Animal Crossing will not bring over the hardcore), for Super Mario 3DS, it will simply sell less imo but it is still a bridge title like Mario Kart 3DS