Yearly Hardware Sales Transitions in America

[Avinash_Tyagi]

ioi said:
Avinash_Tyagi, Japan with DS has shown that whilst demand isn't being met, it is unrealistic to think that when it is we could suddenly see sales double or more. I think a 10m 2008 for Wii is very possible both in terms of demand and supply, but if people think that were 20m units shipped then 20m could be sold then I think you are overestimating demand slightly. That said, I could see as high as 12-13m, depending on what kind of success Wii Fit and similar titles see in America, Smash Bros being huge is a given, as is Mario Kart and so on, but if Wii Fit performs like Wii Play has this year then I could see demand staying high all year. Otherwise, a point will come whereby demand is met and things begin to slow.

I am going to do a similar thread for Japan just for comparison...

 You forget ioi, most PS2's were sold below $200, i believe around 80%, Wii occupies a higher price point ($250), and only one color, i disagree that I am overstating demand, maybe demand at $250 isn't 20 million a year in NA, but Wii has plenty of space to grow its demographic, nintendo could probably drop the price right now if they had to, they don't have to any time soon however, personally i believe that 15-17 million is very possible this year in NA if nintendo ships that much since 10 million+ probably wouldn't have been out of the question in 2007