March 2011 Quarter / Fiscal Year Results for Nintendo (and projections)

[Aprisaiden]

postofficebuddy said:

Zlejedi said:

menx64 said:

200m, thats way too much, but there is no way wii wont reach 100m, 97-98 by mid 2012, 110m 2013... and I guess it would still sell a few millions after mid 2013... so 115m or so before it gets discontinued... 

There's no way Wii sells 13 milion units from 2012 to 2013 after Wii 2 was released. This year they will make 10-11 milions at most and for next one they will be lucky to sell 7-8 milions after that Wii will drop like a stone into water as Nintendo doesn't have structure to push it Sony PS2 style.

I think there's a chance Wii won't outsell PS1.

I wonder if Sony PS2 shipments for this quarter will be higher than Wii shipments.

It's not going to drop off that quickly. 13 million is probably a safe bet for this calendar year assuming they hit their projection. Yes, sales will dry up relatively quickly once Wii2/Cafe comes out but there's still room for at least 1 more price cut which should be enough to give it at least another 10 million lifetime. And besides that, it would be the ultimate indignity for Nintendo if they didn't at least beat PS1. They'll probably keep the console around long enough to do that at least.

I'm not so sure, Nintendo predicted 18mil, then 17.5mil, then 16mil last fiscal year and only hit 15mil -- that 13mil could easily fall alot lower since 3rd parties will/are abondoning the Wii and Nintedno's first party is going to be busy with 3DS and N6 software.