WW up April 9th 2011

[Michael-5]

*Sound Of Rain said:

Michael-5 said:

I agree with you about PS3 100%. For 360, sales will jump in Fall. 360 might have less games then PS3, but Gears 3 and Forza 4 will generate more hype and sales then all of PS3's exclusives from that time period.

As for Wii, it may be getting a price cut real soon, it's already $170 at Best Buy. So this should boost Wii sales to about PS3 level leaving 360 behind and come fall Wii and 360 should both pick up above PS3. Year end, I still think Wii will come first, but it will be closer this year then any other year in the past.

As for 3DS, when the software comes, sales will jump. It's just annoying Nintendo promised 4 million 3DS's sold by the end of Q1 and I think at best they will get that at the end of May.

I thought DS was a oretty good console. Not as good for the hardcore as the GBA was, but there is a lot more casual software for the DS. I mean I play more Picross then any other handheld game. GB and GBA served the hardcore better with better Pokemon games, better Zeldas, more mainstream Metroid titles, and more new IP's like Advance Wars, Fire Emblem and Golden Sun. However DS had a proper Mario Kart, a couple good Super Mario games, a proper Mario Party, 2 new Pokemons plus a remake, a proper Animal Crossing and a lot of polished $20 titles such as Brain Age and Picross.

Well, to be honest does the 360 or Wii really have anything left? I actually thought that Kinect was going to help the 360 a lot more than it has currently...yeah a Price Cut will help all 3 so thats not really something Microsoft has to play that only benefits it exclusivly. As for Wii, I was extremely excited for something new such as the Vitality Sensor but to me it seems as if Nintendo doesn't want to do anything else "Unique" until next Gen. I think that they are saving all of their ideas for the 3DS and Next Gen. They should continue to release Wii games such as Wii Play Motion but I don't know if that alone will cut it this time. 

At this point, Sony has a major advantage and as long as they don't mess it up somehow PS3 should keep #1 most of the time. Wii & 360 both will be #1 sometimes like after a major release or a Price Cut but if PS3 gets a Price Cut too and no games get delayed(maybe this time) and they continued to release big games frequently like they are doing right now and looking at the release schedule will continue to do...PS3 should stay #1.

I never expected 3DS to sell 4 Million by the start of April. I am not worried about 3DS sales at all as they are currently doing fine with no (big) games. Many people bought the 3DS with 1 or no games which just shows that there really isn't a big games a lot of people want right now. Nintendo fans are looking at the 3D and the future promised line-up and buying the 3DS because of it. Only the "Core" really knows the future line-up so not many people will buy a new system based on what isn't out yet...when the games come...so will the massive sales.

As for DS...I am not really a "Core" gamer anyway as I like many different games and types of games. My favorite games on the DS happened to be "Casual" games. They were Picross 3D and Professor Layton.(UF) I didn't get around to buying Mario Kart DS for some strange reason and I didn't like Animal Crossing Wild World. ACWW IMO had bad controls and it turned me away from getting into the game.(Same thing with Super Mario 64 DS) The only games I can really say I enjoyed on the DS were: New Super Mario Bros, Pokemon Diamond, Picross, Professor Layton & The Unwound Future, and Elebits The Adventures Of Kai And Zero. Besides that DS didn't offer me much. The graphics also made it difficult for me to enjoy games such as Resident Evil. I couldn't even tell what I was doing or where I was at between the graphics and controls. DS had a good concept and I liked the Touch Screen and duel screens but the  games didn't offer for me. IMO both Gameboy and Gameboy Advance were better even though the idea of the DS was better.

3DS is already looking better than DS because it fixes everything I didn't like about the DS. The line-up of games already looks great, the graphics are much improved, and it has the circle pad for better controls that will let me enjoy games I wish I could have liked on the DS such as Resident Evil & Animal Crossing.

Wii and 360 tend to be significantly more popular in the Americas region, and in this region holiday sales are noticably more impactful. In 2010 360 was outselling PS3 3:2 in the holiday season, which was largely due to Kinect. Also Ms tends to have a strong holiday lineup. Gears of War 3 and Forza Motorsport 4 might not be too much, but those are both 5 million plus selling games, and add in some unique Kinect software ,such as Codename D, Prject Draco, Steel Batallion, Gears of War Exile, Rise of Rightmares and Wipeout, and we should expect 360 to have a very strong holiday season.

Nintendo doesn't have as much software, but Zelda, Pikmin, XenoBlades, Tales of Graces, and likely another Just Dance should be enough to hold strong sales, especially for fall. I mean last few falls the Wii has had a few close to 2 million weeks.

PS3 should stay #1 for at least until E3. However, I said the exact same thing a month back about 360 being #1 till E3. So who knows, but I think PS3 will hold first until E3. The important question is will fall 360 sales be enough to match PS3's yearly sales, or will PS3 slowly catch up overall? Every year we always see a dramatic shift, 2010 saw a small boost from Kinect, 2009 saw a major boost from Slim and 2008 saw a small boost from a 360 price cut. Who knows what will happen in 2011.

I agree about 3DS, I guess Nintendo only meant to say 4 million shipped to retailers by April 2011, which did happen.

As for DS, I was a little disappointed with Picross 3D, the older Picross DS is better IMO. I tend to play a lot of casual games on my DS too, and like you I missed out on Mario Kart. Gameboy Advance and Gameboy were better for the hardcore, like I said before. I mean I almost exclusively played RPG's and strategy games on the GBA, but on DS I've gone more casual. The big games for me were the Pokemons, Metroid Prime Pinball, Advance Wars, Fire Emblem, Picross DS, Brain Age, and Starfox.

As for the 3DS, I'm not too crazy about the software like you. To me it looks like a lot of N64 ports, and some downgraded console HD games. I bet they will be fun, but I need more then Mario Kart and Kid Icarus to sell it to me. However, a lot of the software looks like it will be out by this fall, so I expect the 3DS to have a strong fall, even at its $250 price point.

It's nice to hear from you, you always give an opinion, not just a biased two comment point, and you always observe gaming from your perspective, and never claim your perspective is the truth. i.e. Your future predictions, and likes are what you feel, and you never say it as if the world will conform to youre views. A lot of people on this website are just too into game sales, tend to have a biased view of the market, and never get into their own opinion.